Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004476 0.004910 0.005378 0.005920 0.006534 0.007210 0.008014
2025-10-19 0.003720 0.004315 0.005003 0.005865 0.006925 0.008198 0.009862
2025-10-26 0.003286 0.003951 0.004758 0.005822 0.007207 0.008979 0.011466
2025-11-02 0.002954 0.003652 0.004529 0.005732 0.007374 0.009586 0.012879
2025-11-09 0.002737 0.003464 0.004407 0.005749 0.007656 0.010349 0.014589
2025-11-16 0.002532 0.003268 0.004249 0.005687 0.007805 0.010923 0.016084
2025-11-23 0.002339 0.003071 0.004067 0.005566 0.007844 0.011322 0.017348
2025-11-30 0.002230 0.002977 0.004017 0.005626 0.008151 0.012157 0.019444
2025-12-07 0.002167 0.002942 0.004047 0.005801 0.008649 0.013353 0.022367
2025-12-14 0.002043 0.002808 0.003919 0.005721 0.008722 0.013839 0.024062
2025-12-21 0.001920 0.002670 0.003773 0.005597 0.008705 0.014161 0.025487
2025-12-28 0.001826 0.002567 0.003674 0.005539 0.008792 0.014673 0.027380
2026-01-04 0.001764 0.002512 0.003652 0.005615 0.009139 0.015749 0.030773
2026-01-11 0.001676 0.002415 0.003557 0.005561 0.009250 0.016395 0.033385
2026-01-18 0.001600 0.002329 0.003474 0.005520 0.009379 0.017091 0.036277
2026-01-25 0.001522 0.002236 0.003372 0.005437 0.009414 0.017596 0.038813
2026-02-01 0.001469 0.002180 0.003328 0.005452 0.009643 0.018546 0.042763
2026-02-08 0.001407 0.002106 0.003248 0.005394 0.009718 0.019162 0.045966
2026-02-15 0.001339 0.002020 0.003143 0.005281 0.009666 0.019480 0.048393
2026-02-22 0.001305 0.001987 0.003128 0.005337 0.009975 0.020701 0.053948
2026-03-01 0.001291 0.001986 0.003167 0.005501 0.010537 0.022640 0.062532
2026-03-08 0.001240 0.001921 0.003089 0.005426 0.010558 0.023202 0.066605
2026-03-15 0.001186 0.001849 0.002994 0.005310 0.010474 0.023476 0.069738